Electricity Demand Prediction by a Transformer-Based Model

سال انتشار: 1401
نوع سند: مقاله ژورنالی
زبان: انگلیسی
مشاهده: 121

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شناسه ملی سند علمی:

JR_MJEE-16-4_009

تاریخ نمایه سازی: 25 بهمن 1401

چکیده مقاله:

The frighteningly high levels of power consumption at present are caused mainly by the expanding global population and the accessibility of energy-hungry smart technologies. So far, various simulation tools, engineering- and AI-based methodologies have been utilized to anticipate power consumption effectively. While engineering approaches forecast using dynamic equations, AI-based methods forecast using historical data. The modeling of nonlinear electrical demand patterns is still lacking for durable solutions, however, the available approaches are only effective for resolving transient dependencies. Furthermore, because they are only based on historical data, the current methodologies are static in nature. In this research, we present a system based on deep learning to anticipate power consumption while accounting for long-term historical relationships. In our approach, a transformer-based model is used for the prediction of electricity demand on data collected from the regional facilities in Iraq. According to the conducted experiments, our approach claims competitive performance, achieving an error rate of ۲.۰ in predicting ۱-day-ahead of electricity demand in the test samples.

نویسندگان

Ahmed Mohammed Mahmood

Department of Optical Techniques, AlNoor University College, Iraq

Musaddak Maher Abdul Zahra

Computer Techniques Engineering Department, Al-Mustaqbal University College, Hillah ۵۱۰۰۱, Iraq

Waleed Hamed

Medical technical college, Al-Farahidi University, Baghdad, Iraq

Bashar S. Bashar

Al-Nisour University College, Baghdad, Iraq

Alaa Hussein Abdulaal

Medical Device Engineering, Ashur University College, Baghdad, Iraq

Taif Alawsi

Scientific Research Center, Al-Ayen University, Thi-Qar, Iraq

Ali Hussein Adhab

Department of Medical Laboratory Technics, Al-Zahrawi University College, Karbala, Iraq

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