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Reservoir Inflow forecasting Using Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) in Karkheh Basin

عنوان مقاله: Reservoir Inflow forecasting Using Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) in Karkheh Basin
شناسه ملی مقاله: MEAENRS02_350
منتشر شده در دومین همایش ملی مهندسی و مدیریت کشاورزی، محیط زیست و منابع طبیعی پایدار در سال 1393
مشخصات نویسندگان مقاله:

Majid Kazemzadeh - M.Sc. students of Tehran University
Zahra Noori - M.Sc. students of Tehran University.
Arash Malekian - Assistance professor of Tehran University.

خلاصه مقاله:
Accurate real-time forecasts of reservoir inflow are specific interest for operation and scheduling in water resources management. There are variety of methods which have been proposed for this purpose including empirical (statistical) and conceptual (physical) approaches. However, this study focused on the utility of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) for the forecasting of the daily river flow time series in Kharkheh basin, Iran. The model performance was assessed through MSE, RMSE as well as correlation coefficient. The results indicated that the scenario 3 was found the better than another ones and also showed the lowest error among all scenarios. Therefore the results of the MLP model with different input's scenarios was capable to predict the daily river flow in reservoir inflow of Kharkheh Dam.

کلمات کلیدی:
Reservoir, MLP, River flow, Karkheh Dam

صفحه اختصاصی مقاله و دریافت فایل کامل: https://civilica.com/doc/357956/