DEVELOPING A NEW MODEL FOR ESTIMATING THE NUMBER OF THE INJURED AFTER POTENTIAL EARTHQUAKES FOR IRAN

One of the main challenges for disaster management in Iran that needs to be addressed by research institutions is estimating the potential number of the injured after an earthquake. This is important for emergency response authorities as they should provide necessary services to the victims in the aftermath of an earthquake, and delay in providing such aids may increase mortality rate. However, up to now, few studies carried out to provide a model for such assessment, specifically in Iran.In order to develop an appropriate empirical model for estimating the number of the injured after an earthquake, the first step is preparing a database to address the information of earthquakes occurred in Iran. However, this is a challenging issue, as precise data on this subject normally are not available or not well-documented. Therefore, in this study, the availableinformation provided by different authorities or those reflected in reliable sources have been investigated and recorded in a database. For this purpose at first, the global catalogues like UTSU, NGDC, UNISDR have been evaluated, and the information of Iran’s earthquakes has been extracted from them. These catalogues cover the recorded earthquakes from 1962 to 2019 in Iran. Then, the newspapers, scientific articles, national reports prepared by official organizations, reliable news reflected in media, etc. have been reviewed and necessary data were gathered through these sources. Data collected from these various sources has been compiled in a database that includes many fields, some shown in Table 1. In this table, a sample earthquake and its impacts on different settlements have been listed to be filled based on available data.