Efficient estimation of Markov-switching model with application in stock price classification

سال انتشار: 1400
نوع سند: مقاله ژورنالی
زبان: انگلیسی
مشاهده: 164

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شناسه ملی سند علمی:

JR_JMMF-1-2_008

تاریخ نمایه سازی: 18 بهمن 1400

چکیده مقاله:

In this paper, we discuss the calibration of the geometric Brownian motion model equipped with Markov-switching factor. Since the motivation for this research comes from a recent stream of literature in stock economics, we propose an efficient estimation method to sample a series of stock prices based on the expectation-maximization algorithm. We also implement an empirical application to evaluate the performance of the suggested model. Numerical results through the classification of the data set show that the proposed Markov-switching model fits the actual stock prices and reflects the main stylized facts of market dynamics. Since the motivation for this research comes from a recent stream of literature in stock economics, we propose an efficient estimation method to sample a series of stock prices based on the expectation-maximization algorithm. Numerical results through the classification of the data set show that the proposed Markov-switching model fits the actual stock prices and reflects the main stylized facts of market dynamics. Since the motivation for this research comes from a recent stream of literature in stock economics, we propose an efficient estimation method to sample a series of stock prices based on the expectation-maximization algorithm.

نویسندگان

Farshid Mehrdoust

Department of Applied Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematical Sciences, University Guilan, Rasht, Iran

Idin Noorani

Department of Applied Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematical Sciences, University of Guilan, Rasht, Iran

Mahdi Khavari

Department of Applied Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematical Sciences, University of Guilan, Rasht, Iran