‎U‎sing Fuzzy Interest ‎Rates for Uncertainty‎ Modelling in Enhanced Annuities Pricing

سال انتشار: 1401
نوع سند: مقاله ژورنالی
زبان: انگلیسی
مشاهده: 107

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شناسه ملی سند علمی:

JR_IJMAC-12-4_004

تاریخ نمایه سازی: 22 فروردین 1402

چکیده مقاله:

The modeling of uncertainty resources‎‎ is very ‎important in ‎insurance pricing‎‎. ‎In this paper‎, ‎fuzzy set theory is implemented to model ‎interest ‎rates ‎as ‎an ‎uncertainty ‎resources‎ for calculating the price of ‎enhanced ‎annuities. In this regard, ‎t‎he ‎single ‎fuzzy‎ ‎premium ‎for a‎ ‎fixed ‎annuity ‎payouts ‎is ‎calculated ‎using‎‎‎ ‎adjusted ‎mortality ‎probabilities ‎for ‎an ‎insured ‎with ‎health ‎problems ‎and ‎the ‎results ‎are‎ ‎compared ‎with ‎standard ‎status. ‎As the ‎adjustment ‎multiplier‎‎‎ increases, which means that the health problems of the insured are worse, the life expectancy of the person decreases. In addition, as adjustment ‎multiplier‎‎‎ increases, the insurance premium decreases, which is due to the adjustment of survival and mortality probabilities based on the individual's health status‎. Also, to show the validity of the ‎proposed‎ fuzzy method, the random interest rate has been used. The results of the ‎fuzzy ‎and ‎random‎ models are close to each other ‎which indicates the validation of proposed method‎.

کلیدواژه ها:

Adjustment multiplier‎ Interest rate ، Enhanced annuities ، Single ‎ premium ، Fuzzy Set Theory‎

نویسندگان

Mahboubeh Aalaei

Personal Insurance Research Group, Insurance Research Center, Tehran, Iran