Stock Liquidity and Return Predictability; Is There a Connec-tion? (Evidence from an Emerging Market)

سال انتشار: 1402
نوع سند: مقاله ژورنالی
زبان: انگلیسی
مشاهده: 96

فایل این مقاله در 22 صفحه با فرمت PDF قابل دریافت می باشد

استخراج به نرم افزارهای پژوهشی:

لینک ثابت به این مقاله:

شناسه ملی سند علمی:

JR_AMFA-8-3_015

تاریخ نمایه سازی: 19 تیر 1402

چکیده مقاله:

This study examines the relationship between stock liquidity and return predicta-bility of ۱۱۶ publicly-traded firms in Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE). To this end, we constructed a dated-regular frequency of time series with total ۴۰۱۲۸ stock-firm observations. After calculating daily bid-ask spreads and stock returns, the observations were classified based on liquidity into three classes and the return predictability was investigated across different classes using a set of parametric tests. The results exhibit signs of return autocorrelation and non-independence over three liquidity groups. Our findings didn’t show a connection between stock liquidity and market efficiency. The Hurst exponent also revealed mean reversion of returns series across different liquidity classes. We conclude that stock liquidity doesn’t play a significant role in market efficiency and return predictability of stocks in TSE. In case of TSE as other emerging markets, due to the small num-ber of traders (the need for more trading activity) and low market making activi-ties, both the cost of trading increases and the reaction to stock price information is delayed, resulting in predictability of price /return.

نویسندگان

Mojtaba Alifamian

PHD Student in Accounting, Faculty of Management and Accounting, Al-lameh Tabatabai University, Tehran, Iran

Abdolkarim Maleknia

PHD Student in Accounting, Faculty of Management and Accounting, Al-lameh Tabatabai University, Tehran, Iran

Ali Eshaghzadeh

Master of Finance, Tehran Faculty of Petroleum, Petroleum University of Technology, Tehran, Iran

مراجع و منابع این مقاله:

لیست زیر مراجع و منابع استفاده شده در این مقاله را نمایش می دهد. این مراجع به صورت کاملا ماشینی و بر اساس هوش مصنوعی استخراج شده اند و لذا ممکن است دارای اشکالاتی باشند که به مرور زمان دقت استخراج این محتوا افزایش می یابد. مراجعی که مقالات مربوط به آنها در سیویلیکا نمایه شده و پیدا شده اند، به خود مقاله لینک شده اند :
  • Acharya, VV., Pedersen, LH., Asset pricing with liquidity risk, Journal ...
  • Amihud, Y., Mendelson, H., Asset pricing and the bid-ask spread, ...
  • Baker, M., Stein, JC., Wurgler, J., When does the market ...
  • Brock, WA., Dechert, WD., Non-linear dynamical systems: instability and chaos ...
  • Fama, EF., The behavior of stock-market prices, The journal of ...
  • Fang, J., Stock liquidity, price informativeness, and accruals-based earnings management, ...
  • Improving Stock Return Forecasting by Deep Learning Algorithm [مقاله ژورنالی]
  • Doi: ۱۰.۲۲۰۳۴/AMFA.۲۰۱۹.۵۸۴۴۹۴.۱۱۷۳[۲۴] Farshadfar, Z., Khalili Eraghi, M., Study the Effect ...
  • Gholami, R., Narrei B., Azizi, P., Effects of Turnover on ...
  • Glosten, LR., Milgrom, PR. Bid, ask and transaction prices in ...
  • Hasani, M., Nabizadeh, N., Evidence of the effect of illiquidity ...
  • Hayek, FA., The use of knowledge in society, The American ...
  • Hirshleifer, D., Teoh, SH., Yu, JJ. Short arbitrage, return asymmetry, ...
  • Financial Assessment of Banks and Financial Institutes in Stock Exchange by Means of an Enhanced Two stage DEA Model [مقاله ژورنالی]
  • Liu, W., A liquidity-augmented capital asset pricing model. Journal of ...
  • Ljung, GM., Box, GE. On a measure of lack of ...
  • Lo, AW., MacKinlay, AC., Stock market prices do not follow ...
  • Luo, Y., Do insiders learn from outsiders? Evidence from mergers ...
  • Ozdenoren, E., Yuan, K. Feedback effects and asset prices, The ...
  • Pástor, Ľ., Stambaugh, RF. Liquidity risk and expected stock returns, ...
  • Piotroski, JD., Value investing: The use of historical financial statement ...
  • Raei, R., Eivazlu, R., Abbaszadeh Asl., A., Investigation on relation ...
  • Sarin, A., Shastri, K., Shastri, K., Ownership structure and stock ...
  • Soheili, K., Amirian, S., Investigating the relationship between liquidity and ...
  • Doi: ۱۰.۲۲۰۳۴/amfa.۲۰۱۹.۵۸۰۶۴۳.۱۱۴۹ ...
  • Urquhart, A. The inefficiency of Bitcoin. Economics Letters, ۲۰۱۶, ۱۴۸(۱), ...
  • Doi:۱۰.۱۰۱۶/j.econlet.۲۰۱۶.۰۹.۰۱۹[۶۰] Vassalou, M., Xing, Y., Default risk in equity returns, ...
  • Doi: ۱۰.۱۰۱۶/j.najef.۲۰۲۲.۱۰۱۷۳۳[۶۳] Wilson, R., Information, efficiency, and the core of ...
  • The effect of information disclosure on market reaction with meta-analysis approach [مقاله ژورنالی]
  • Overview of Portfolio Optimization Models [مقاله ژورنالی]
  • Zanjirdar, M., Kasbi, P., Madahi, Z., Investigating the effect of ...
  • Doi: ۱۰.۵۲۶۷/j.msl.۲۰۱۴.۱.۰۰۳ ...
  • نمایش کامل مراجع