Analyzing the performance of DEA models for bankruptcy prediction in the energy sector: with emphasis on Dynamic DEA approach

سال انتشار: 1402
نوع سند: مقاله ژورنالی
زبان: انگلیسی
مشاهده: 69

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شناسه ملی سند علمی:

JR_AMFA-8-4_014

تاریخ نمایه سازی: 3 مهر 1402

چکیده مقاله:

Predicting bankruptcy risk is one of the most critical issues in corporate financial decision-making. Investors always try to predict the bankruptcy of a firm to reduce the risk of losing their assets, so they are looking for ways by which they can predict the risk of bankruptcy. We predict the position of companies active in the oil and gas industry based on their financial health in the ۲۰۲۰ ranking of S&P global up to three years before ۲۰۲۰. This study uses three data envelopment analysis models (CCR, BCC, and DDEA) and the traditional Altman model for forecasting. We have shown that dynamic data envelopment analysis is a powerful tool for predicting bankruptcy risk.

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نویسندگان

Seyed Babak Ebrahimi

faculty of industrial engineering of K.N.Toosi University of Technology, Tehran, Iran.

Mohammad Ali Khorami

faculty of industrial engineering of K.N.Toosi University of Technology, Tehran, Iran.