Structural analysis of key drivers affecting resilience against earthquakes Research case: informal settlements in the ۲۰th district of Tehran metropolis

سال انتشار: 1402
نوع سند: مقاله ژورنالی
زبان: انگلیسی
مشاهده: 70

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شناسه ملی سند علمی:

JR_JORAR-15-3_006

تاریخ نمایه سازی: 18 مهر 1402

چکیده مقاله:

INTRODUCTION: Informal settlements in cities are one of the most vulnerable regions to natural disasters, including earthquakes. The investigation of the vulnerability of Tehran's ۲۰th District to earthquakes revealed that the plans and measures taken to make this area more resilient were unsuccessful. This research was conducted to systematically identify and analyze the key drivers effective on the resilience of District ۲۰ of Tehran against earthquakes. METHODS: The present study was mixed (quantitative-qualitative) with an analytical-exploratory nature, and the statistical population consisted of a group of ۳۵ experts in the two fields of "futuristic approach" and "resilience". The Delphi technique was utilized in this research, and the obtained data were analyzed in MicMac software using structural analysis. FINDINGS: The findings obtained from the distribution of variables in the axes of influence and dependence of factors in MicMac software indicated the instability of the system within the scope of the study, based on which, five categories of variables were identified. CONCLUSION: According to the high score of direct and indirect influences of the factors, ۱۱ main factors were identified as the key drivers affecting the resilience of District ۲۰ of the Tehran metropolis against the earthquake.

کلیدواژه ها:

Earthquake ، District ۲۰ of Tehran ، Informal settlements ، Resilience ، Earthquake ، District ۲۰ of Tehran ، Informal settlements ، Resilience

نویسندگان

علی عسگری

Islamic Azad university

آزاده اربابی سبزواریی

Associate Professor, Department of Geography, Faculty of Basic Sciences, Islamshahr Azad University, Islamshahr, Iran

حمیدرضا جودکی

Islamic Azad university

مریم رستم پیشه

Islamic Azad university

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