Enhancing Environmental Sustainability in a Critical Region: Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture and Tourism

سال انتشار: 1402
نوع سند: مقاله ژورنالی
زبان: انگلیسی
مشاهده: 32

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شناسه ملی سند علمی:

JR_CEJ-9-11_001

تاریخ نمایه سازی: 2 اردیبهشت 1403

چکیده مقاله:

The Ardabil Plain is pivotal in the national agricultural sector and ranks among the leading agricultural and horticultural production provinces. The primary objective of this study is to enhance environmental sustainability in this critical and vulnerable region, particularly in the face of imminent droughts and climate change. The study examines the impacts of climate change on agriculture and tourism in the area. It puts forward suggestions for implementing sustainable practices to safeguard the well-being of the local population. The results indicate a ۳۸% reduction in precipitation, especially in the autumn season, with a possible alteration in the timing and strength of rainfall. Also, a notable decline in production volume, particularly in a specific region of the Ardabil plain, has been observed. The Ardabil Plain currently produces ۲۸۴,۱۸۲ tons of wheat, with ۲۰۴,۹۸۰ tons from irrigated crops and ۷۹,۲۰۲ tons from rain-fed crops. However, the projected future scenario indicates a decrease in total wheat production to ۲۰۹,۱۹۶ tons, with ۱۶۰,۱۲۵ tons from irrigated crops and ۴۹,۰۷۱ tons from rain-fed crops. This decline in production is expected to lead to a total net income loss of approximately -۷۵,۳۸۹,۰۵۹, with -۴۵,۰۹۵,۶۶۳ attributed to irrigated crops and -۳۰,۲۹۳,۳۹۶ to rain-fed crops. The study findings suggest that the availability of water sources in certain regions may prompt a shift in farming land from the north to the south of the plain to promote environmental sustainability. This demographic change could have significant financial and social implications for the region's growth and prosperity. Moreover, increasing temperatures in the western and northern regions pose flood risks and uncomfortable travel conditions, particularly concerning given the reliance on tourism and potential unemployment consequences. It becomes imperative to adopt sustainable practices and manage resources effectively to ensure the region's resilience and prosperity in the face of environmental challenges. Doi: ۱۰.۲۸۹۹۱/CEJ-۲۰۲۳-۰۹-۱۱-۰۱ Full Text: PDF

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